阻塞性睡眠呼吸暂停患者夜间低氧血症的风险因素及评估模型构建

Risk factors and assessment model construction of nocturnal hypoxemia in patients with obstructive sleep apnea

  • 摘要: 目的 探讨阻塞性睡眠呼吸暂停(OSA)患者夜间低氧血症的风险因素并构建评估模型。方法 选取经多导睡眠监测(PSG)确诊的303例OSA患者为研究对象,依据PSG监测结果分为病例组171例(发生低氧血症)和对照组132例(未发生低氧血症)。比较2组资料; 采用多因素Logistic回归分析筛选OSA患者夜间低氧血症的风险因素并构建风险评估模型。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线的曲线下面积(AUC)、K-fold交叉验证法评估模型的价值。结果 病例组年龄、体质量指数(BMI)、颈围、吸烟史比例、血红蛋白、红细胞分布宽度、呼吸暂停-低通气指数(AHI)、最长呼吸暂停时间(LAD)、打鼾指数、呼吸暂停-低通气持续时间占总睡眠时间百分比(AHT%)均高于对照组,差异有统计学意义(P < 0.05)。Logistic回归分析表明,BMI高、红细胞分布宽度大、LAD长、AHT%高均是OSA患者夜间低氧血症的危险因素(P < 0.05)。基于此构建评估模型的ROC曲线的AUC值(0.952)均分别高于BMI的AUC值(0.833)、红细胞分布宽度的AUC值(0.780)、LAD的AUC值(0.866)、AHT%的AUC值(0.898)。100次10折交叉验证表明该评估模型具有较好的泛化能力。结论 OSA患者夜间低氧血症与BMI高、红细胞分布宽度大、LAD长以及AHT%高有关,以此构建的模型在评价OSA患者夜间低氧血症中能发挥重要作用。

     

    Abstract: Objective To explore the risk factors for nocturnal hypoxemia in patients with obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) and construct an assessment model. Methods A total of 303 patients with OSA diagnosed by polysomnography (PSG) were selected as research objects. Based on PSG results, they were divided into case group (171 patients with hypoxemia) and control group (132 patients without hypoxemia). Materials were compared between the two groups; multivariable Logistic regression analysis was used to screen risk factors for nocturnal hypoxemia in OSA patients and construct a risk assessment model. Value of the model was evaluated by the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and K-fold cross-validation. Results The case group had significantly higher values in age, body mass index (BMI), neck circumference, proportion of smokers, hemoglobin, red cell distribution width (RDW), apnea-hypopnea index (AHI), the longest apnea duration (LAD), snoring index, and percentage of apnea-hypopnea duration to total sleep time (AHT%) when compared to the control group (P < 0.05). Logistic regression analysis showed that high BMI, high RDW, long LAD, and high AHT% were risk factors for nocturnal hypoxemia in OSA patients (P < 0.05). AUC value (0.952) of the ROC curve of the assessment model constructed based on these factors was higher than the AUC values of BMI (0.833), RDW (0.780), LAD (0.866), and AHT% (0.898) alone. One hundred times of 10-fold cross-validation demonstrated that the assessment model had good generalization ability. Conclusion Nocturnal hypoxemia in OSA patients is associated with high BMI, high RDW, long LAD, and high AHT%. The model constructed based on these factors plays an important role in evaluating nocturnal hypoxemia in OSA patients.

     

/

返回文章
返回