血清巨噬细胞移动抑制因子、单核细胞趋化因子-1水平联合毛细血管渗漏指数对脓毒症患者并发急性呼吸窘迫综合征的预测价值

Predictive value of serum macrophage migration inhibitory factor, monocyte chemoattractant factor-1 levels combined with capillary leak index for acute respiratory distress syndrome in patients with sepsis

  • 摘要: 目的 探讨血清巨噬细胞移动抑制因子(MIF)、单核细胞趋化因子-1(MCP-1)水平联合毛细血管渗漏指数(CLI)对脓毒症患者并发急性呼吸窘迫综合征(ARDS)的预测价值。方法 选取212例脓毒症患者作为研究对象,观察其临床表现和胸部X线平片、CT扫描结果,将患者分为ARDS组(62例)和非ARDS组(150例)。比较2组患者的血清MIF、MCP-1水平及CLI, 通过多因素Logistic回归分析筛选脓毒症患者并发ARDS的影响因素,采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评估相关指标对脓毒症患者并发ARDS的预测效能。结果 ARDS组血清MIF、MCP-1水平和CLI均高于非ARDS组,差异有统计学意义(P < 0.05); ARDS组氧合指数低于非ARDS组,急性生理学与慢性健康状况评分系统Ⅱ(APACHE Ⅱ)评分、序贯器官衰竭评估(SOFA)评分高于非ARDS组,差异有统计学意义(P < 0.05)。多因素Logistic回归分析显示,低氧合指数、高APACHE Ⅱ评分、高SOFA评分、高血清MIF水平、高血清MCP-1水平、高CLI均为脓毒症患者并发ARDS的独立危险因素(P < 0.05)。ROC曲线显示, MIF、MCP-1、CLI单独和联合预测脓毒症患者并发ARDS的曲线下面积分别为0.902、0.818、0.708和0.932, 三者联合的预测效能最高,灵敏度为96.77%, 特异度为96.67%。结论 血清MIF、MCP-1水平和CLI均与脓毒症患者并发ARDS密切相关,三者联合应用对脓毒症患者并发ARDS具有较高的预测价值。

     

    Abstract: Objective To investigate the predictive value of serum macrophage migration inhibitory factor (MIF), monocyte chemoattractant factor-1 (MCP-1) levels combined with capillary leak index (CLI) for acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) in patients with sepsis. Methods A total of 212 patients with sepsis were selected as the study subjects. Their clinical manifestations, chest X-ray plain film, and CT scan results were observed. The patients were divided into ARDS group (62 cases) and non-ARDS group (150 cases). The serum MIF and MCP-1 levels and CLI of the two groups were compared. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to screen the influencing factors for ARDS in patients with sepsis. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was employed to evaluate the predictive efficacy of relevant indicators for ARDS in patients with sepsis. Results The serum MIF and MCP-1 levels and CLI in the ARDS group were all higher than those in the non-ARDS group, with statistically significant differences (P < 0.05). The oxygenation index in the ARDS group was lower than that in the non-ARDS group, while the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation Ⅱ(APACHE Ⅱ) score and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score were higher than those in the non-ARDS group, with statistically significant differences (P < 0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that a low oxygenation index, high APACHE Ⅱ score, high SOFA score, high serum MIF level, high serum MCP-1 level, and high CLI were all independent risk factors for ARDS in patients with sepsis (P < 0.05). The ROC curve demonstrated that the areas under the curve (AUCs) for predicting ARDS in patients with sepsis by MIF, MCP-1, and CLI alone and their combination were 0.902, 0.818, 0.708, and 0.932, respectively. The combined prediction had the highest efficacy, with a sensitivity of 96.77% and a specificity of 96.67%. Conclusion Serum MIF and MCP-1 levels and CLI are all closely related to ARDS in patients with sepsis. The combined application of these three indicators has a high predictive value for ARDS in patients with sepsis.

     

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