蛋白尿动态变化对IgA肾病肾功能进展的预测价值

Predictive value of proteinuria dynamics for renal progression in IgA nephropathy

  • 摘要:
    目的 评估蛋白尿动态变化对IgA肾病(IgAN)患者肾功能恶化的影响。
    方法 选取105例IgAN患者为研究对象, 所有患者均有完整的3年随访数据。根据初诊24 h尿蛋白水平,将患者分为轻度蛋白尿(A组, < 1.0 g)、中度蛋白尿(B组, 1.0~3.0 g)和重度蛋白尿(C组, >3.0 g)。本研究主要终点为估算肾小球滤过率(eGFR)年均下降率≥30%的发生率,次要终点为终末期肾病事件。采用Kaplan-Meier法进行生存分析。采用Cox比例风险回归模型评估不同临床变量对肾功能衰退的影响。绘制受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线,分析尿蛋白水平变化对疾病进展的预测效能。
    结果 3组患者在eGFR下降率≥30%占比、接受激素治疗情况等方面比较,差异有统计学意义(P < 0.05)。A组平均生存时间为35.686个月, B组平均生存时间为34.644个月, C组平均生存时间为29.760个月。初诊尿蛋白水平(OR=4.068, P < 0.001)和尿蛋白水平变化值(OR=3.914, P < 0.001)均为肾功能衰退的重要预测因子。初诊尿蛋白水平曲线下面积(AUC)=0.825, P < 0.001较尿蛋白水平变化值(AUC=0.643, P < 0.05)对IgAN恶化的预测效能高。
    结论 初诊尿蛋白水平及其动态变化是IgAN患者肾功能进展的重要预测因子,监测蛋白尿动态变化有助于对肾功能恶化的早期干预。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To evaluate the impact of dynamic changes in proteinuria on the deterioration of renal function in patients with IgA nephropathy (IgAN).
    Methods A total of 105 patients with IgAN were selected as the study subjects, and they had complete 3-year follow-up data. Based on the initial 24 h proteinuria levels, the patients were categorized into mild proteinuria (group A, < 1.0 g), moderate proteinuria (group B, 1.0 to 3.0 g) and severe proteinuria (group C, >3.0 g). The primary endpoint of this study was the incidence of an annual decline rate of ≥30% in the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), while the secondary endpoint was the occurrence of end-stage renal disease events. Survival analysis was conducted using the Kaplan-Meier method. Cox proportional hazards regression model was employed to assess the impact of different clinical variables on renal function decline. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted to analyze the predictive efficacy of changes in proteinuria levels on disease progression.
    Results Statistically significant differences were observed among the three groups in terms of the proportion of patients with eGFR decline rate of ≥30% and hormone therapy (P < 0.05). The mean survival time was 35.686 months in the group A, 34.644 months in the group B, and 29.760 months in the group C. Both the initial proteinuria level (OR=4.068, P < 0.001) and the change in proteinuria level (OR=3.914, P < 0.001) were significant predictors of renal function decline. The initial proteinuria level area under the curve (AUC)=0.825, P < 0.001 demonstrated higher predictive efficacy for the deterioration of IgAN compared to the change in proteinuria level(AUC=0.643, P < 0.05).
    Conclusion The initial proteinuria level and its dynamic changes are important predictors of renal function progression in patients with IgAN. Monitoring the dynamic changes in proteinuria can facilitate early intervention in renal function deterioration.

     

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