未足月胎膜早破患者发生组织学绒毛膜羊膜炎的危险因素分析

Analysis of risk factors for histologic chorioamnionitis in patients with preterm premature rupture of membranes

  • 摘要:
    目的 基于临床特征及炎症指标探讨未足月胎膜早破(PPROM)患者发生组织学绒毛膜羊膜炎(HCA)的危险因素。
    方法 回顾性分析108例PPROM患者的临床资料, 根据产后病理结果分为HCA组32例和非HCA组76例。比较2组患者的临床特征及实验室指标水平; 采用Logistic回归分析筛选PPROM患者发生HCA的危险因素; 绘制受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线,分析独立危险因素及联合模型对PPROM患者发生HCA的预测效能。
    结果 HCA组破膜孕周短于非HCA组,破膜至分娩时间≥24 h、合并阴道感染、产前发热、B族溶血性链球菌(GBS)阳性和严重羊水污染者占比均高于非HCA组, C反应蛋白(CRP)、中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)、血小板与淋巴细胞比值(PLR)、单核细胞与淋巴细胞比值(MLR)水平均高于非HCA组,差异有统计学意义(P < 0.05)。多因素Logistic回归分析结果显示,破膜至分娩时间≥24 h、产前发热和NLR升高是PPROM患者发生HCA的独立危险因素(P < 0.05)。ROC曲线显示,破膜至分娩时间、产前发热和NLR预测PPROM患者发生HCA的曲线下面积(AUC)分别为0.817、0.735和0.840, 敏感度分别为75.00%、71.88%和84.38%; 联合模型预测的AUC为0.906, 敏感度为86.80%, 预测效能显著优于单独指标(P < 0.05)。
    结论 破膜至分娩时间≥24 h、产前发热和NLR升高是PPROM患者发生HCA的独立危险因素,临床可通过监测这些指标早期识别HCA发生风险,进而指导抗菌药物使用或分娩时机选择。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To explore the risk factors for histologic chorioamnionitis (HCA) in patients with preterm premature rupture of membranes (PPROM) based on clinical characteristics and inflammatory indicators.
    Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 108 patients with PPROM. According to the postpartum pathological results, they were divided into HCA group (32 cases) and non-HCA group (76 cases). The clinical characteristics and laboratory indicator levels of the two groups were compared. Logistic regression analysis was used to screen the risk factors for HCA in patients with PPROM. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted to analyze the predictive efficacy of independent risk factors and a combined model for the occurrence of HCA in patientswith PPROM.
    Results The gestational age at membrane rupture in the HCA group was shorter than that in the non-HCA group. The proportions of patients with a rupture-to-delivery interval≥24 h, concurrent vaginal infection, prenatal fever, positive group B Streptococcus (GBS), and severe amniotic fluid contamination were all higher in the HCA group than those in the non-HCA group. The levels of C-reactive protein (CRP), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR) were all higher in the HCA group than in the non-HCA group, with statistically significant differences (P < 0.05). The results of multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that a rupture-to-delivery interval≥24 h, prenatal fever, and an elevated NLR were independent risk factors for the occurrence of HCA in patients with PPROM(P < 0.05). The ROC curves showed that the areas under the curves (AUC) for predicting the occurrence of HCA in patients with PPROM by rupture-to-delivery interval, prenatal fever, and NLR were 0.817, 0.735, and 0.840, respectively, with sensitivities of 75.00%, 71.88%, and 84.38%, respectively. The AUC predicted by the combined model was 0.906, with a sensitivity of 86.80%, and its predictive efficacy was significantly better than that of individual indicator (P < 0.05).
    Conclusion A rupture-to-delivery interval≥24 h, prenatal fever, and an elevated NLR are independent risk factors for the occurrence of HCA in patients with PPROM. Clinically, these indicators can be monitored to early identify the risk of HCA occurrence, thereby guiding the use of antimicrobial agents or the selection of the delivery timing.

     

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