肺移植术后早期急性肾损伤的危险因素以及血清脂肪酸结合蛋白3和乳脂球表皮生长因子8蛋白水平的预测价值

Risk factors for early acute kidney injury after lung transplantation and predictive values of serum levels of heart-type fatty acid binding protein 3 and milk fat globule epidermal growth factor 8 protein

  • 摘要:
    目的 探讨肺移植术后早期急性肾损伤(AKI)的危险因素以及血清脂肪酸结合蛋白3(H-FABP)和乳脂球表皮生长因子8蛋白(MFG-E8)水平的预测价值。
    方法 选取本院92例接受肺移植的患者,依据术后7 d内AKI发生情况分为AKI组(n=62)和非AKI组(n=30)。比较2组临床资料,采用多因素Logistic回归分析筛选独立危险因素; 采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析血清H-FABP、MFG-E8单独及联合预测的价值,采用Bootstrap重复抽样(1 000次)验证模型稳定性。
    结果 AKI组术前肌酐、术中输血量、术中尿量依次为(58.52±14.02) μmol/L、1 500.00(1 000.00, 2 050.00) mL、(320.50±85.22) mL, 分别高于非AKI组的(51.75±13.39) μmol/L、1 000.00(700.00, 1 250.00) mL、(182.10±50.41) mL, 差异有统计学意义(P < 0.05)。AKI组肺动脉高压、术后体外膜肺氧合(ECMO)≥2 d、应用潜在肾毒性药物≥5种患者比率依次为70.97%、45.16%、63.33%, 分别高于非AKI组的50.00%、23.33%、23.33%, 差异有统计学意义(P < 0.05)。AKI组血清H-FABP水平为(24.12±3.09) ng/mL, 高于非AKI组的(12.19±2.93) ng/mL; MFG-E8水平为(64.82±18.84) pg/mL, 低于非AKI组的(141.60±31.65) pg/mL, 差异均有统计学意义(P < 0.05)。多因素Logistic回归分析显示,肺动脉高压、术后ECMO≥2 d、术前肌酐升高、应用潜在肾毒性药物≥5种以及术中尿量增多是肺移植术后早期AKI的独立危险因素(P < 0.05)。血清H-FABP、MFG-E8单独及联合预测的曲线下面积(AUC)分别为0.764、0.801、0.929, 联合预测的灵敏度为90.32%, 特异度为83.33%, 效能最优(Z=4.002、3.751, P < 0.05)。经Bootstrap法验证,模型偏差校正AUC为0.912(95%CI: 0.835~0.948), 提示模型预测稳定性良好。
    结论 肺动脉高压、术后ECMO≥2 d、术前肌酐升高、应用潜在肾毒性药物≥5种以及术中尿量增多是肺移植术后早期AKI的独立危险因素。血清H-FABP与MFG-E8分别从损伤和保护维度提供互补信息,联合检测可能提升早期预警能力,为临床早期干预提供参考。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To explore the risk factors for early acute kidney injury (AKI) after lung transplantation and the predictive values of serum heart-type fatty acid binding protein 3 (H-FABP) and milk fat globule epidermal growth factor 8 protein (MFG-E8) levels.
    Methods A total of 92 patients with lung transplantation in the hospital were selected and divided into AKI group (n=62) and non-AKI group (n=30) according to the occurrence of AKI within 7 days after surgery. The clinical data of the two groups were compared. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis was used to screen independent risk factors. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to analyze the predictive value of serum H-FABP and MFG-E8 alone and their combination, and bootstrap resampling (1 000 times) was used to verify the stability of the model.
    Results The preoperative creatinine, intraoperative blood transfusion volume, and intraoperative urine volume in the AKI group were (58.52±14.02) μmol/L, 1 500.00 (1 000.00, 2 050.00) mL, and (320.50±85.22) mL respectively, which were all significantly higher than (51.75±13.39) μmol/L, 1 000.00 (700.00, 1 250.00) mL and (182.10±50.41) mL in the non-AKI group (P < 0.05). The proportions of patients with pulmonary hypertension, postoperative extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) ≥ 2 days, and the use of ≥ 5 potentially nephrotoxic drugs in the AKI group were 70.97%, 45.16% and 63.33% respectively, which were all significantly higher than 50.00%, 23.33% and 23.33% in the non-AKI group (P < 0.05). The serum H-FABP level in the AKI group was (24.12±3.09) ng/mL, which was significantly higher than (12.19±2.93) ng/mL in the non-AKI group (P < 0.05); the MFG-E8 level in the AKI group was (64.82±18.84) pg/mL, which was significantly lower than (141.60±31.65) pg/mL in the non-AKI group (P < 0.05). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that pulmonary hypertension, postoperative ECMO≥2 days, elevated preoperative creatinine, the use of ≥5 potentially nephrotoxic drugs, and increased intraoperative urine volume were independent risk factors for early AKI after lung transplantation (P < 0.05). The areas under the curve (AUCs) for the prediction by serum H-FABP, MFG-E8 alone and in combination were 0.764, 0.801, and 0.929, respectively. The combined prediction had a sensitivity of 90.32% and a specificity of 83.33%, showing the best performance (Z=4.002, 3.751, P < 0.05). After verification by the bootstrap method, the bias-corrected AUC of the model was 0.912(95%CI, 0.835 to 0.948), indicating good stability of the model prediction.
    Conclusion Pulmonary hypertension, postoperative ECMO≥2 days, elevated preoperative creatinine, the use of ≥ 5 potentially nephrotoxic drugs, and increased intraoperative urine volume are independent risk factors for early AKI after lung transplantation. Serum H-FABP and MFG-E8 provide complementary information from the perspectives of injury and protection, respectively. Combined detection may improve early warning ability and provide a reference for early clinical intervention.

     

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