术前预后营养指数对首次行根治性手术的口腔鳞状细胞癌患者预后的预测价值

Value of preoperative prognostic nutrition index in predicting prognosis of oral squamous cell carcinoma patients initially undergoing radical operation

  • 摘要:
      目的  探讨术前预后营养指数(PNI)对首次行根治性手术的口腔鳞状细胞癌(OSCC)患者预后的预测价值。
      方法  回顾性分析2015年1月—2017年10月上海交通大学医学院附属第九人民医院首次行根治性手术的437例OSCC患者的临床和随访资料。根据术前1周的血常规检查结果计算PNI。通过受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线计算约登(Youden)指数,将Youden指数最大值所对应的PNI作为预测OSCC预后的最佳临界值。分析术前PNI与临床病理特征的关系。采用Kaplan-Meier生存曲线和Cox回归模型分析PNI对OSCC患者预后的影响。
      结果  患者术前PNI的平均值为(49.93±5.60),最佳临界值为46.23。术前PNI与年龄(P < 0.001)、T分期(P < 0.001)、TNM分期(P=0.013)有相关性。高PNI组患者3年总生存率为84.7%,高于低PNI组的57.3%,差异有统计学意义(P < 0.001)。多因素分析结果显示,年龄>60岁(HR=2.211,95% CI为1.390~3.518,P=0.001)、TNM分期为Ⅲ期和Ⅳ期(HR=3.911,95% CI为2.561~6.221,P < 0.001)、PNI≤46.23(HR=2.554,95% CI为1.707~3.821,P < 0.001)是OSCC患者术后预后较差的独立危险因素。
      结论  术前低PNI是影响OSCC患者预后的独立危险因素,对OSCC的预后评估具有一定的指导意义。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective  To investigate the value of postoperative prognostic nutritional index (PNI) in predicting prognosis of oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) patients initially undergoing radical operation.
      Methods  Clinical and follow-up materials of 437 OSCC patients initially undergoing radical operation in the Ninth People's Hospital Affiliated to Medical School of Shanghai Jiaotong University from January 2015 to October 2017 were retrospectively analyzed. PNI was calculated according to the blood routine results one week before surgery. The Youden index was calculated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and PNI with the maximum Youden index was selected as the optimal critical value for predicting the prognosis of OSCC. The relationship between preoperative PNI and clinical characteristics was analyzed. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox regression analysis were conducted to analyze the influence of PNI on prognosis of patients with OSCC.
      Results  The mean value of preoperative PNI was (49.93±5.60) and the optimal critical value of PNI was 46.23. Preoperative PNI was associated with age (P < 0.001), T staging (P < 0.001) and TNM staging (P=0.013). The 3-year survival rate of patients in the high PNI group was 84.7%, which was significantly higher than 57.3% in the low PNI group (P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis showed that aged over 60 years old (HR=2.211, 95% CI, 1.390 to 3.518, P=0.001), stage Ⅲ and Ⅳ of TNM (HR=3.911, 95% CI, 2.561 to 6.221, P < 0.001) and PNI ≤46.23 (HR=2.554, 95% CI, 1.707 to 3.821, P < 0.001) were the independent risk factors of prognosis in patients with OSCC.
      Conclusion  Preoperative low PNI is an independent risk factor for the prognosis of patients with OSCC, which has a certain guiding significance for the prognosis evaluation of OSCC.

     

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