Study on predictive effect of serum beta human chorionic gonadotropin on unruptured tubal pregnancy treated by methotrexate
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摘要:目的 探讨血清β-人绒毛膜促性腺激素(β-HCG)水平变化对甲氨蝶呤(MTX)治疗未破裂型输卵管妊娠效果的预测价值。方法 选取接受MTX治疗的197例未破裂型输卵管妊娠患者作为研究对象,根据MTX治疗结果的不同分为成功组(n=138)和失败组(n=59)。比较2组血清β-HCG水平变化,并应用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析血清β-HCG水平预测MTX治疗效果的敏感度和特异度。结果 成功组β-HCG水平在第4天下降者占91.30%(126/138),高于失败组的20.34%(12/59),差异有统计学意义(P < 0.05)。2组给药第4、7天血清β-HCG水平以及β-HCG第1~4天变化率比较,差异均有统计学意义(P < 0.05)。ROC曲线分析结果显示,第1天β-HCG水平的特异度最高,第4天β-HCG水平的敏感度最高,综合分析显示第4天β-HCG水平对MTX治疗结果的预测价值较高。197例患者中,恶心呕吐者11例,转氨酶水平轻微上升者5例。结论 对于无症状且血流动力学稳定的未破裂型输卵管妊娠患者,基于血清β-HCG水平变化预测MTX的治疗效果是一种安全、有效的选择。
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关键词:
- 异位妊娠 /
- 甲氨蝶呤 /
- β-人绒毛膜促性腺激素 /
- 受试者工作特征曲线 /
- 预测效能
Abstract:Objective To investigate predictive effect of serum beta human chorionic gonadotropin(β-HCG) on unruptured tubal pregnancy treated by methotrexate(MTX).Methods A total of 197 patients with unruptured tubal pregnancy treated with MTX were selected and divided into success group (n=138) and failure group (n=59) according to the results of MTX treatment. The changes of blood β-HCG levels in the two groups were compared, and the sensitivity and specificity of blood β-HCG in predicting therapeutic efficacy of MTX were analyzed by Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve.Results In the successful group, ratio of patients with the level of β-HCG decreased by 91.30%(126/138)on the fourth day was significantly higher than 20.34%(12/59) in those of the failure group(P < 0.05). The change rate of β-HCG ranging from the first day to the fourth day and β-HCG levels at 4 and 7 days after administration of two groups showed significant differences(P < 0.05). ROC curve analysis results showed that the β-HCG level on the 1st day was the highest in specificity, and was the highest on the 4th day in sensitivity. Comprehensive analysis showed that β-HCG level on the 4th day had a higher predictive value for MTX treatment outcomes. Out of 197 patients, 11 had nausea and vomiting, and 5 had slight increase of transaminase level.Conclusion For asymptomatic and stable ectopic pregnancy women in hemodynamics, it is a safe and effective and choice to predict the effect of MTX in the treatment of unruptured tubal pregnancy through the changes of serum β-HCG. -
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表 1 2组患者一般资料比较(x±s)
组别 n 年龄/岁 孕次/次 停经时间/d 治疗前包块直径/mm 成功组 138 27.65±5.13 1.82±0.67 49.14±7.26 25.03±5.36 失败组 59 27.16±4.95 1.79±1.53 49.45±4.87 25.36±5.20 表 2 2组血清β-HCG水平变化情况比较(x±s)
IU/L 组别 n β-HCG/(IU/L) 第1天 第4天 第7天 第1~4天变化率 第4~7天变化率 成功组 138 3 764.98±1 654.15 2 438.42±1 654.61 1 896.49±1 658.65 -35.92±5.75 -42.23±4.87 失败组 59 3 549.49±1 851.47 4 681.93±2 683.18* 3 351.15±1 513.67* 35.19±9.53* -25.51±7.12 β-HCG: β-人绒毛膜促性腺激素。与成功组比较, *P < 0.05。 表 3 不同时点血清β-HCG水平的ROC曲线分析结果
指标 AUC 95%CI 最佳临界值/(IU/L) 敏感度/% 特异度/% 阳性预测值/% 阴性预测值/% 第1天β-HCG 0.583 0.348~0.817 2 911.80 78.94 64.51 54.54 41.19 第4天β-HCG 0.795 0.669~0.921 3 947.71 86.36 54.54 77.65 86.73 第7天β-HCG 0.652 0.481~0.823 3 393.78 33.33 0 70.02 80.92 -
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