老年人慢性病共病关联规则分析

Analysis in association rules of chronic diseases in the elderly people

  • 摘要:
    目的 探讨中国60岁以上老年人群慢性疾病的共患模式及其关联因素。
    方法 基于2018年中国健康与养老追踪调查(CHARLS)数据,针对数据库内60岁及以上人群共14种慢性疾病的患病信息,采用R4.0.4软件中的Apriori算法,对频繁项集进行提取,构建慢性疾病间及其与关联因素间的关联规则模型。
    结果 在13 206名参与者中,至少患有1种慢性疾病的例数为3 691例(占27.95%), 而同时患有2种或更多慢性疾病的例数为6 217例(占47.08%)。关联规则分析显示,最常见的共患模式包括心脏病与高血压、血脂异常与高血压、糖尿病与高血压,以及“心脏病、关节炎→高血压”“高血压、胃部疾病→关节炎”“血脂异常、关节炎→高血压”,其支持度分别为8.93%、8.29%、5.44%、3.82%、3.71%和3.22%, 置信度分别为55.15%、59.64%、60.13%、53.67%、51.58%和60.11%。不规律睡眠模式、城市居住背景及社交参与度高与高血压的关联度较强; 不规律睡眠模式、农村居住以及女性则与关节炎的关联度较高。
    结论 鉴于高血压在多种慢性疾病共患模式中的普遍性,应强化对老年人群中高血压及其并发症的预防和筛查。对于与高血压并存的慢性病共患模式,应特别关注城市中参与社交活动的老年人的日常疾病筛查与管理; 同时,对于老年女性、睡眠质量差、农村居民,需加强对与关节炎共患的慢性疾病模式的筛查与关注。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To explore the comorbidity patterns of chronic diseases and their associated factors in the elderly population aged 60 and above in China.
    Methods Based on the data from the 2018 China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), the Apriori algorithm in R4.0.4 software was used to extract frequent itemsets and construct an association rule model between chronic diseases and their associated factors, targeting the information on 14 chronic diseases in people aged 60 and above in the database.
    Results Among the 13 206 participants, 3 691 cases (27.90%) suffered from at least one chronic disease, while 6 217 cases (47.08%) suffered from two or more chronic diseases. Analysis of association rules showed that the most common comorbidity patterns included heart disease and hypertension, dyslipidemia and hypertension, diabetes and hypertension, as well as "heart disease, arthritis→high blood pressure" "high blood pressure, stomach disease→arthritis" "dyslipidemia, arthritis→hypertension", with support degrees of 8.93%, 8.29%, 5.44%, 3.82%, 3.71% and 3.22%, and confidence degrees of 55.15%, 59.64%, 60.13%, 53.67%, 51.58% and 60.11% respectively. Irregular sleep patterns, urban living backgrounds, and high social participation were strongly associated with hypertension; while irregular sleep patterns, rural residency, and female were highly associated with arthritis.
    Conclusion Given the universality of hypertension in multiple chronic disease comorbidity patterns, the prevention and screening of hypertension and its complications in the elderly population should be strengthened. For the comorbidity patterns of chronic diseases coexisting with hypertension, special attention should be paid to the daily disease screening and management of the elderly who participate in social activities in cities. At the same time, for elderly women, poor sleep quality, and rural residents, the screening and attention to the comorbidity patterns of chronic diseases with arthritis need to be strengthened.

     

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